completing models of observed complex systems Abarbanel, Henry D. I. creator text survey of literature xxu Nueva York (Estados Unidos) Springer 2013 monographic eng xvi, 238 páginas ilustraciones y gráficas Predicting the Future: Completing Models of Observed Complex Systems provides a general framework for the discussion of model building and validation across a broad spectrum of disciplines. This is accomplished through the development of an exact path integral for use in transferring information from observations to a model of the observed system. Through many illustrative examples drawn from models in neuroscience, fluid dynamics, geosciences, and nonlinear electrical circuits, the concepts are exemplified in detail. Practical numerical methods for approximate evaluations of the path integral are explored, and their use in designing experiments and determining a model's consistency with observations is investigated. Using highly instructive examples, the problems of data assimilation and the means to treat them are clearly illustrated. This book will be useful for students and practitioners of physics, neuroscience, regulatory networks, meteorology and climate science, network dynamics, fluid dynamics, and other systematic investigations of complex systems. An Overview: The Challenge of Complex Systems -- Examples as a Guide to the Issues -- General Formulation of Statistical Data Assimilation -- Evaluating the Path Integral -- Twin Experiments -- Analysis of Experimental Data -- Unfinished Business. specialized Henry D.I. Abarbanel Incluye referencias bibliográficas e índices Análisis de sistemas Modelos matemáticos Informática Modelos matemáticos Sistemas 9781461472179 CO-BoUCM 130624 20150604105636.0 spa