01933cam a22002174a 450000500170000000800410001702000240005802000240008204000610010604100080016724501130017526000760028830000470036450500290041150500360044052006380047652005030111465000310161770000360164870000310168420140903175023.0100316s2010    xxuad  frn    001 0 eng d  a9780804769716 (v.2)  a9780804769730 (v.1)  aCo-BoUCMbengcJavier GarzóndDiana Londoñod[Nuevo]0 aeng00aForecasting nuclear proliferation in the 21st centuryceditado por William C. Potter y Gaukhar Mukhatzhanova  aStandford (California, Estados Unidos)bStanford University Pressc2010  a2  volúmenesbilustraciones y gráficas0 gV.1t The role of theory0 gV.2t A comparative perspective  aV.1. The role of theory - Provides the most comprehensive and up-to[date collection of theoretical perspectives regarding the sources of and propensity for nuclear proliferation. Through concept definition and development hypothesis testing, generalization of findings, and qualitative analysis, this collection of essays provide a better understanding of the limits of reactive proliferations as well as the circumstances under which weapons diffusion is most likely to occur. Compelling arguments are offered about what must be done in order to improve proliferation prognoses and propose new conceptual approaches toward that end.  aV.2. A comparative perspective - A systematic and comparative look at nuclear decision-making with future orientation, comparative perspective, insights from social science theory, and country case studies, to aid policy makers in forecasting nuclear proliferation developments. Questions regarding the propensity of certain states to "go nuclear", the sources of national decisions to do so , and the potential for one state's proliferation behavior to impact on that of other states is addressed. 7aControl de armas nucleares1 aMukhatzhanova, Gaukhar.eeditor1 aPotter, William C.eeditor