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Imperfect knowledge economics exchange rates and risk

por Frydman, Roman
Autores adicionales: Goldberg, Michael D. -- 1958-
Publicado por : Princeton University Press (Princeton (Nueva Jersey, Estados Unidos)) Detalles físicos: xxiii, 340 páginas ilustraciones, gráficas ISBN:691121605; 9780691121604. Año : 2007
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Incluye referencias bibliográficas e índice.

pt. I. From early modern economics to imperfect knowledge economics. Recognizing the limits of economists' knowledge. -- A tradition interrupted. -- Flawed foundations : the gross irrationality of 'rational expectations' and behavioral models. -- Reconsidering modern economics. -- Imperfect knowledge economics of supply and demand. -- pt. II. 'Anomalies' in contemporary models of currency markets. The overreach of contemporary models of asset markets. -- The 'puzzling' behavior of exchange rates : lost fundamentals and long swings. -- 'Anomalous' returns of foreign exchange : is it really irrationality?. -- pt. III. Imperfect knowledge economics of exchange rates and risk. Modelling preferences in asset markets : experimental evidence and imperfect knowledge. -- Modeling individual forecasting strategies and their revisions. -- Bulls and bears in equilibrium : uncertainty-adjusted uncovered interest parity. -- IKE of the premium on foreign exchange : theory and evidence. -- The forward discount 'anomaly' : the peril of fully prescpecifying market efficiency. -- Imperfect knowledge and long swings in the exchange rate. -- Exchange rates and macroeconomic fundamentals : abandoning the search for a fully predetermined relationship.